Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.314109 3.671902 4.059525 4.511875 5.026782 5.596403 6.276643
2025-06-22 2.778198 3.253131 3.803544 4.493091 5.340122 6.354756 7.674374
2025-06-29 2.423466 2.952436 3.596144 4.446041 5.551998 6.961042 8.922451
2025-07-06 2.093325 2.626433 3.299339 4.224023 5.482230 7.165127 9.639558
2025-07-13 1.928909 2.485219 3.211098 4.245922 5.713854 7.769834 10.956837
2025-07-20 1.816011 2.396108 3.176029 4.325865 6.021023 8.500252 12.542475
2025-07-27 1.725361 2.326000 3.155816 4.417557 6.345592 9.282901 14.309847
2025-08-03 1.637513 2.250401 3.118083 4.474859 6.617430 10.007772 16.081794
2025-08-10 1.552239 2.170408 3.065108 4.500320 6.836500 10.666329 17.831647
2025-08-17 1.436022 2.035905 2.919697 4.367066 6.782172 10.858878 18.768142
2025-08-24 1.350620 1.941133 2.826537 4.306753 6.838919 11.241823 20.108329
2025-08-31 1.282697 1.868064 2.760883 4.283959 6.954296 11.736767 21.737083
2025-09-07 1.255062 1.856776 2.793429 4.430558 7.387708 12.879239 24.912273
2025-09-14 1.194132 1.789037 2.730405 4.408487 7.514417 13.457584 27.001421
2025-09-21 1.133808 1.718345 2.657331 4.361870 7.589147 13.940656 28.965581
2025-09-28 1.046722 1.599151 2.495941 4.144803 7.317124 13.686828 29.165320
2025-10-05 1.009750 1.560308 2.467506 4.166188 7.510501 14.423200 31.895366
2025-10-12 0.985213 1.540566 2.470084 4.244308 7.823816 15.456371 35.590964
2025-10-19 0.964042 1.525103 2.478727 4.333904 8.169188 16.607529 39.862865
2025-10-26 0.938857 1.501185 2.470574 4.389891 8.449074 17.647515 44.078680
2025-11-02 0.910608 1.470303 2.447765 4.414767 8.663759 18.562760 48.159901
2025-11-09 0.862059 1.401233 2.351266 4.284568 8.522360 18.587813 49.537758
2025-11-16 0.826577 1.353719 2.291947 4.225631 8.535725 19.002723 52.251577